There seems to be a great many historical events unfolding at the same point in time, we look at some investment ideas for 2021
It’s only when you stop to write a blog or spend some time to reflect that you realise this is history in motion. As I write this, Donald Trump, the president of the United States of America is calling the election rigged and is questioning the validity of the result. This undermines so many things and erodes trust in just about everything.
No matter what your stance on Bitcoin, it’s independent nature has to have some allure as even the president calls into question the system itself. This recent Twitter thread by Raoul Pal explains it’s long term potential very well and why we should all be holding some Bitcoin.
Brexit negotiations are nearing the end game, with neither party willing to budge and a no deal Brexit is looking increasingly likely. The EU is also threatening our energy security as part of the deal.
We have not even mentioned the virus and its ”cure” announced last week. The timing of which also occurred right after the election. The markets took the news with great gusto. Pfizer was up almost 16% on the day at one point.
So what does all this mean for investors??
The Pfizer cure is only 90% effective and has only had a limited trial, however as I write this Moderna (MRNA) has just announced a vaccine with a 95% success rate, which ironically was fast-tracked by the Trump administrations funding.
This has also seen another stock market move higher, along with oil prices and Bitcoin.
So should we be out on the streets throwing a party and celebrating the end of perhaps the worse year in many peoples lives? Possibly!
However things are going to get worse before they get better, the time lag in producing the vaccine and the onset of winter flu seasons means many more will sadly die and our health systems will be stretched. We will have to endure a miserable winter and a lockdown Christmas before we can get out on the streets.
Spring 2021 will be a time of great prosperity as months of pent up demand are released in an investment boom not seen for some time.
And although now may not seem like the time, now is when you should be planning for this. We have compiled a quick to do list ready for 2021.
It will be interesting to see how the treasury manages this post investment boom. They have obviously run up massive debts during the pandemic and as such will be keen to recoup this. One such suggestion has been to tax drivers on a pay per mile tax, which seems rather unfair, another will be to raid business. What ever they choose lets hope its done in such a way as not to strangle growth.
So keep your head down for a few more months, get your house in order and prepare for the good times again in the spring. If you have any questions or would like any suggestions on how best to play the above please get in touch and we will gladly give you a free consultation.